New Poll spells trouble for Dems

I was pondering on a similar post, when Jeff’s post popped up in my inbox. He has said it better than I could have. This is not the news you want to hear, but it is the news you NEED to hear, for next year’s election is not, as some believe, a sure thing. Thank you, Jeff, for this analysis … though it may not be what we hope to hear, it is certainly information that we should be thinking about.

On The Fence Voters

Trump still competitive in battleground states

There’s roughly a year to go before we decide who will become President of the United States on January 20, 2021. Recent polls telling us who’s up and who’s down rarely cause a rise to my blood pressure.

Until the one that just came out, that is.

The New York Times/Sienna College poll, released yesterday, should be a wake-up call to all of us who think that Donald Trump is a disaster for America. The idea that he could win again, even with all we know about his presidency, is beyond frightening. However, when you look at the results of the poll, the warning signs are flashing loudly.

But many may ask, “What’s the big deal? All the top tier Democrats are leading Trump overall nationally, some by nearly ten percentage points.” That’s true. Joe Biden, Elizabeth Warren, and Bernie Sanders all lead Trump…

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15 thoughts on “New Poll spells trouble for Dems

    • Welllllllll … A mixed bag here. It is true that the only … the ONLY … thing that is keeping Trump’s approval rating around 40% is the fact that the economy is holding its own and most people have jobs. However, most economists agree that the economy is not maintainable at the current levels. Personally, I thought it would take a downturn before now, but I cannot see it staying as it is for another full year. I also cannot see Trump winning the popular vote, and in fact I think he will lose by more than the 2.8 million he lost by in 2016. The problem we have is gerrymandered districts and the electoral college. And, of course, the interference of outsiders such as Russia, the Ukraine, etc. And, of course, the fact that red states are working hard to disenfranchise young, old, minority and poor voters. And, of course, the fact that the top three democratic candidates all have some baggage. Sigh. It’s gonna be a long 12 months, my friend, that’s for sure.

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  1. Personally I would prefer Bernie or Ms Warren, they have a solid platform to run on. I’m afraid if VP Biden becomes the nominee, he’d most likely lose b/c the Progressives & Independents will either sit it out or straight out protest vote for Trump. I know, scary thought… let’s pray the DNC will do the right thing, and keep Hillary out of politics – she’s a jinx!


    • You are so very right! My fear is that we will get tired, worn down by the constant battering of chaos and incompetence, of being accused of anything they can think of, the name-calling. Sigh. Gotta remember to re-charge the ol’ batteries from time to time, yes?

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      • Yep. as y’know Sheila allegorically hauled me off Facebook for getting into too many scraps of that sort with Brexiteers, UNICEF denigrators etc ; the more they hit, the harder I swiped back.
        I’m back now on a FaceBook site which was originally set up to post complementary comments about John Bercow, naturally this attracted all sorts. And now the election is in full swing has become one of the many places where some Lib-Dems (Liberal-Democrats: a sort of party where moderates of the GOP and ‘conservatives’ on the Democrats would gather) and some Labour folk meet to stage sniping matches.
        So I weighed in with others on the ‘Quit that! It’s Johnson and Co are the enemy’ tack.
        In the UK the big buzz phrase at present is ‘tactical voting’, the idea being to vote for the candidate who is most likely to beat the Tory/Conservative candidate, and this is the beat we pound.
        I’ve had good rants, some of my best actually. It’s been all very therapeutic, feel like I’m actually part of this election.
        (Some folk get really confused when someone who tells then he is far left of Jeremy Corbyn then says folk should vote Lib-Dem if it means unseating Johnson…makes ’em think)


  2. things are looking more hopeful. Oklahoma did not have elections yesterday for anything other than community state elections at all. That comes with the election next year. BUT, in almost every community, democrats ended up taking the majorities. Republicans were still elected, but they no longer own the state. Hopefully we can keep organized and work towards turning state and federal offices blue next year.

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    • That is good news, indeed! I’m so pleased with Kentucky (although the defeated Bevin is calling for a recount, of course) and Virginia! Maybe there is hope yet … fingers crossed!


    • I fully agree! I’ve been saying for six months now that the democrats need to stop the infighting and unify behind the strongest candidate, whether it’s Biden, Sanders or Warren. It’s going to be an uphill battle at best … sigh.


  3. Democrat Andy Beshear just defeated incumbent governor Matt Bevin in Kentucky – a state Trump won by 30 points in 2016 and which he personally campaigned heavily for Mr. Bevin. Voter turnout increased by about 500,000 votes since the last gubernatorial election, and the largest shift of votes occurred in the state’s suburbs marking a continuance of a national trend since the 2018 midterms. Remarkably, Republican candidates won most of the other Kentucky races but they weren’t so closely associated with Trump as Bevin was. The message sent by Kentuckians is clearly a rebuke of Trump, and it surely will upset Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell who is up for reelection next year.

    Also, Democrats won control of the Virginia state senate and appear to be winning control of the state house.

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    • I saw that a bit ago! Awesome news!!! And, Virginia now has a democratic majority in both chambers of their state legislature! As re Kentucky, though … next step is they need to vote Mitch McConnell OUT next year!!! Not all the news was good, but those two … KY and VA … were key, I think. Can’t wait to see Trump’s Twitter feed in the morning! 🙄

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