A few days ago, I re-blogged a post by new blogging friend Quentin over at WeTheCommoners. The post detailed the history of U.S.-Iranian relations and provided a timeline of how we got where we are today. At time, I asked Quentin if he might consider a follow-up giving his assessment of where we go from here, where he sees the relationship heading over the coming years/decades. This post is a result of that conversation, and I think you’ll find that Quentin has a good understanding of the relationship between the two countries and has provided a thought-provoking assessment. Thank you, Quentin, both for this post and your permission to share it!
The Dark Road Ahead: The Future of U.S.-Iranian Relations
By Quentin Choy
July 30, 2021
One of my most popular posts “How We Got Here: An Illustrated Timeline of U.S.-Iranian Relations” went over the last couple of decades of U.S.-Iranian relations. The illustrated timeline showed the events that deteriorated relations to the poor point at which they now stand.
In this post, I’ll discuss what I believe the future will look like for U.S.-Iranian relations based off of current political and diplomatic trends.
Continued U.S. Escalation Through Rhetoric and Sanctions
The U.S. and Iran have engaged with one another in a tit-for-tat fashion over the last few decades, with the C.I.A. coup in 1953 and subsequent Iranian Revolution in 1979 serving as catalysts toward disaster. The kidnapping of American hostages in the Tehran embassy will always serve as a hot point between the two nations as well.
Following attempts to restrict Iranian access to nuclear weapons through the Iran nuclear deal, the United States withdrew from the deal in 2018 with then-president Donald Trump citing that the deal wouldn’t sufficiently ensure that Iran would not gain access to nuclear weapons.
The United States has placed sanctions on Iran for decades, and those sanctions continue on to the present day.